Thursday, November 10, 2016
Quasimodo - Introduction to High Probability Setup
Although
new, the Quasimodo pattern is a commonly occurring theme that is more
frequent when price carves a top or a bottom or when price begins a
major correction to the trend. Quasimodo indicates the early stage of
reversal by making a hidden engulfing pattern. The risk-return ratio
would be higher as we try to identify the reversal levels of the price
of a particular currency pair at the supply or demand zone.
The Quasimodo Pattern, although complex as it might seem is actually very simple. This trading pattern is especially powerful because when it occurs, in most cases, traders will notice a confluence with other methods of analysis such as head and shoulder (HNS) pattern, supply and demand, divergence, support and resistance and engulfing pattern, to name a few.
For example, when a trader spots a Quasimodo pattern near a support or resistance level, it increases the confidence of the trader or the trading probability. Likewise, when trading divergences, when you spot a Quasimodo pattern, that confluence can be used to trade the divergence set up with more confidence.
As we can see from the above, the Quasimodo pattern is not a trading strategy by itself but is more of a confluence pattern that
can be used to confirm a trader’s bias. Of course, the Quasimodo
pattern doesn’t appear all the time, but when it does, traders can be
sure that the market offers a high probability trade set up. Try them
out and you will realise a bigger chances of winning trades.
My Trading Experience... a story of my route of infamous foreign exchange trader.
My Trading Experience
I
started trading foreign exchange about four years ago. I was introduce
by my brother in law. He helped me with the installation and registering
a demo account. The next day I registered a real account with a broker
and deposited $100 into the account. Start trade without the knowledge
of leverage, margins or any basics of foreign exchange trading.
“It is easy, just BUY when I think the price would go up and SELL when I think that the price would go up”.
Well, sorry to say… It is not as easy as it looks…
I
did not have any clue whatsoever about forex market. I used to visit
different trading forums and financial news websites in search of a
profitable system, installed Currency Strength Meter on my phone to make
it easier to me to detect which currency is strong and which one is
weak. Easier for me to spot which pair to trade.
Lost
$100, then I deposited another $500 it last for a few days growing that
account, but ended up losing all of my money. What makes it so
difficult just to pick a particular pair and choose whether to order BUY
when I predicted the price would go up and to order SELL when I
predicted that the price would go down? Then I realised that I need to
learn from someone. So I started google and find a teacher to learn
forex trading system.
I
went back and forth to learn from one system to another. I installed
numerous numbers of indicators to filter my entries. Still I was back to
square one.
So
I decided to dig deep and do some research and find the one idea that
above all is what drives the market and is displayed on our charts. Read
SND’s forums and sites through googl, and It did not took me long to
realise that all these price movements whether up or down, I see on
currency charts are result of supply and demand imbalance. If price is
moving up it means there are more willing buyers for that currency at
that point in time and if it is moving down it means there are more
willing sellers for that particular currency. Price is simply moving
from one zone to another zone to fill these orders. It is that simple.
Now
after I have found SUPPLY AND DEMAND, I manage to make profits. Naked
chart, no indicators. Just the Meta Quotes, some lines and boxes.
So here I am, sharing my small experience and knowledge to us to profit from foreign exchange trading.
The information I am sharing with all of you in this blog postings about Supply & Demand is
learned and attained from numerous sources. I will try my level best to
explain it in the simplest of form using layman’s term. The trading
itself is very subjective, as my point of view and others’ point of view
might differs. But all these is a typical experience that all of us
when through in order to learn through knowledge based sources like
websites and forums.
So let's get started:
Definition:
Q. What is Supply [Ss]A. Supply is the quantity of an item available for buyers at a certain price.
Q. What is Demand [Dd]?A. Demand is the quantity of an item which is wanted by buyers at a certain price.
Q. What is imbalance of Supply & Demand?A. (I) If the available Supply of an item exceeds the demand for it then prices tend to fall.
(II) If demand for a certain item exceeds the available supply then prices tend to rise.
Q. What is Price equilibrium?A. The market price at which the supply of an item equals the quantity demanded.
The important keywords are
[1] Supply and demand, [2] Quantity of certain [3] Price.
I
would like to conclude that the definitions of SUPPLY and DEMAND the
quantity offered by seller and buyer at a certain price. The price will
be imbalance when supply is higher than demand or demand is higher than
supply. While price equilibrium is the quantity of supply and demand are
equal.
We now understand the meaning of supply, demand, imbalance of supply & demand and price equilibrium.
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